I like a horse a great deal in Sunday’s first race in
Mumbai. It is Captain Abdon. As I look at the Original Vel book, Captain Abdon,
in six starts has been worse than fourth only once. In Race 44, with S A Amit
up, Captain Abdon was a winner at 20/1. His key victim was Kandinsky who was
winner in his next outing. Entrusted with the public purse in an
accident-marred Race 104, Captain Abdon, again in the hands apprentice Amit,
was a length and a half adrift.
On Sunday, Captain Abdon is set to carry 59 ½ kgs and has
drawn seven in the 11-horse field. The distance is 1200 metres. Consistency and
readiness are the key elements and the entire cause is strengthened by the
presence of A Sandesh in the saddle. The trainer is quite willing to give up
the apprentice allowance and that is a measure of the connections’ confidence.
Spanish Saga had to go to 1-26 to win Race 62. In Race 116,
Spanish Saga was a length and quarter off in third when running on promotion.
On current form, the first race, in my view, is confined to
Captain Abdon and Spanish Saga. The Captain has done much better at Sunday’s
level and with the switch to Sandesh, my vote goes to him.
In the second race, my choice is Magnolia. Dismissed at 10/1
in her debut as a four year-old, Magnolia ran fourth and was eight lengths off
the winner. In Race 116 in Mumbai, Magnolia, now a five year-old mare, was the
11/10 favorite with N S Parmar. She was fourth again beaten a length and a
quarter and she runs again in ten days.
Sunday’s jockey is Jim Crowley, It is Crowley’s first ride
in India. As he left London late Friday for Mumbai, jockey Crowley won with his
last two mounts at Loingfield Park. The fact that Magnolia was the 11/10 chalk
tells a story. With Crowley in the saddle, it is reasonable to think that
Magnolia will be able to elevate her game. Post 10 in the 1600-metre race will
not be a handicap. It is not a given as Rain Dance, Azadegan, and Top Wizard check
in fit for the fray. Normal progression is what Magnolia needs to deliver.
A word or two on Teofilo, Magnolia’s sire. A son of Galileo, Teofilo was the champion two
year-old in Europe in 2006. He ran five times and won all those races. In the Group I National Stakes, Teofilo beat
Holy Roman Emperor at the Curragh. Holy Roman Emperor went to Paris and was
victorious in the Lagardere, Europe’s richest race for freshmen. In a rematch
in Newmarket’s Dewhurst Stakes, Teofilo gained a narrow verdict over Holy Roman
Emperor. Teofilo was made the early favorite for the 2007 Two Thousand Guineas
and the Epsom Derby. An injury three weeks before the 2000 Guineas took him out
of England’s first Classic and a promising career ended. A stallion, Teofilo is
beginning to enjoy some success.
Paddy Power, the Irish betting behemoth, refunded the
Guineas and Derby ante post wagers made on Teofilo because of the Irish
connections. Jim Bolger, trainer of Teofilo, called the Galileo colt the best
he had trained. Bolger rated Teofilo better than St Jovite. A son of Pleasant
Colony, the Bolger-trained St Jovite won the Irish Derby in 1992 and also the
King George VI Stakes at Ascot that summer. St Jovite, 27 years of age, died on
Friday.
Let us now take a look at the sixth race, the 2000-metre R R
Ruia Gold Cup. Phoenix Tiger is a tiger on the loose. His appetite is growing.
The Phoenix Tower colt has won five races from six starts. The Todywalla pupil
is yet to taste defeat with Colm O’Donoghue in the irons. Phoenix Tiger’s win in
the 2000 Guineas was impressive. He did what needed to be done to win. The
2000-metre trip should not be a problem. O’Donoghue is a world class rider. He
is capable of making smart decisions. Yes, there are worthy adversaries but
Phoenix Tiger is in a class of his own. I do not see any chinks in his armour.
Airco is an above average sort but it is clear that he is
not in the classic mould. Colombiana is one step below the required level but
the Nanda-owned colt tries hard every time. The sparingly raced Gestapo is two
for two and the son of Mastercraftsman has the services of Jim Crowley. Gestapo
shows considerable promise but he lacks the exposure and experience of Phoenix
Tiger. Jefferson has had some battling successes but I believe he needs to
elevate his game a great deal to be effective. Magnificence lacks the tools to
be a viable threat. Ostwind, the only horse in the Ruia field to have beaten
Phoenix Tiger in Bangalore, gets Suraj Narredu. A son of Holy Roman Emperor,
Ostwind has not kept pace in terms of development with his more accomplished
rivals. Saker comes off a win in Race 16 in Mumbai and that was a 2000-metre
race for 40-66 players. There is no question Saker is in deeper waters in the
Ruia Cup. Sea Lord has a record that would normally be enviable but he has to reach new levels to have a shot.
Sentosa Cove, a Teofilo gelding, is yet to show the potential that would make
him a frontline contender.
The Magician is another I like in Sunday’s tenth race. He
was a going-away winner in Race 102. He steps up and has drawn four. It was an
optimism-generating victory. I believe The Magician can make another winning
bid.
In Hyderabad, Vijay Vaishnavee goes for a hat trick in the
opener. Given her cracking form and with P S Chouhan up, the daughter of Yeats,
looks home and dry. Yeats won the 4000-metre Gold Cup at Royal Ascot four years
in a row from 2006 to 2009.
Vijay Vidhata is in burning form and is the one to stop in
the third race.
The Healer figures to be a deserving favorite in the fourth. The Healer is by Lord
Shanakill. Jim Crowley’s Group I winner in France is Lord Shanakill. Jockey
Crowley makes his Indian debut at Mahalakshmi on Sunday. A coincidence worthy
of mention.
Good luck